⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Juan Soto 5 HRs · 2 Jarren Duran 5 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Gunnar Henderson 4 HRs · 5 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 6 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 7 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs · 8 Yandy Díaz 4 HRs · 9 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 10 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs 1 Juan Soto 5 HRs · 2 Jarren Duran 5 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Gunnar Henderson 4 HRs · 5 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 6 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 7 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs · 8 Yandy Díaz 4 HRs · 9 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 10 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs
Ryan Jeffers
Ryan Jeffers
MIN RHB
Ryan Jeffers

Ryan Jeffers

RHB
MIN · 41 appearances tracked
7
HRs ?Total home runs hit while this batter appeared in the model's scored pool this season.
17.1%
HR Rate ?Percentage of scored appearances where this batter hit a home run. Higher = more reliable power output.
16.3%
Avg HR/FB ?Average HR-per-fly-ball rate across appearances. Measures how often fly balls leave the yard — above 16% is elite, above 12% is strong.
91.6
Avg EV ?Average exit velocity (mph) on batted balls. Hard contact is the best predictor of HR power — 92+ is elite, 89+ is strong.
0.170
ISO ?Isolated Power — measures raw extra-base-hit ability (SLG minus AVG). .220+ is elite power, .180+ is above average.
#15
Best Rank ?Highest model ranking this batter has achieved on a single slate. #1 means the model rated them the top HR candidate that day.
HR Cadence Typically goes yard every 5 games · 7 HRs in 41 games
Due (1×)
0.4×
Dueness ?Games since last HR ÷ typical cadence. 1.0× = right on schedule. Above 1.0× = overdue relative to their own baseline. 1.5×+ = significantly overdue.
2
Games Since HR ?How many games (appearances in the scored pool) since this batter's last home run.
5
Typical Cadence ?Median number of games between home runs this season. Uses median (not average) for robustness against streaky outliers. Requires 3+ HRs to establish a baseline.
Games between HRs ?Each bar = the number of games between consecutive HRs. The final highlighted bar is the current gap (still open). Bars above the typical cadence are colored differently.
41
Appearances ?Total times this batter has appeared in the model's daily scored pool this season.
7
Top-50 Days ?Number of days this batter ranked in the top 50 on the slate. Top-50 is the model's primary recommendation zone.
2
HRs in Top 50 ?Home runs hit on days when the model ranked this batter in the top 50. Measures how often the model correctly surfaced this batter before they went deep.
29%
Catch Rate ?Percentage of this batter's HRs that occurred when the model had them ranked in the top 50. Higher = model does a good job timing this batter. 60%+ is excellent.
#114.6
Avg Rank ?This batter's average model rank across all appearances. Lower = the model consistently rates them highly.
Rank Trend
lower rank = better · green dots = HR days
HR Days (While Top 50)
2 homers captured
DateRankPitcherStadium B/P WT BP EV Distance
2026-04-23 #37 Christian Scott Citi Field R/R ⚠️ 108.8 mph 377.0 ft
2026-05-17 #33 Robert Gasser Target Field R/R 99.0 mph 389.0 ft
All Appearances
41 total · newest first
DateRankPitcher B/P HR/FB Tier Form WT BP HR?
2026-05-22 #47 Payton Tolle R/L * 17.2% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL 🔥 ·
2026-05-18 #15 Tatsuya Imai R/R * 34.5% 🟢 A ➖ NTRL ⚠️ ·
2026-05-17 #33 Robert Gasser R/R * 25.1% 🔵 C+ ➖ NTRL 💥
2026-05-16 #35 Logan Henderson R/R * 25.0% 🔵 C+ ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-14 #19 Braxton Garrett R/R * 22.8% 🔵 C+ 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-13 #83 Max Meyer R/R * 18.8% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-12 #53 Eury Pérez R/R * 22.8% 🔵 C+ ➖ NTRL 💥
2026-05-10 #119 Gavin Williams R/R * 21.0% 🔵 C+ ➖ NTRL 🔥 ·
2026-05-09 #90 Tanner Bibee R/R * 13.8% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL 🔥 ·
2026-05-08 #124 Parker Messick R/L * 14.1% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL 🔥 ·
2026-05-07 #92 Jake Irvin R/R * 16.3% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL 🔥 💥
2026-05-06 #131 Miles Mikolas R/R * 19.8% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL 🔥 ·
2026-05-05 #124 Cade Cavalli R/R * 14.3% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL 🔥 ·
2026-05-02 #155 Dylan Cease R/R * 15.2% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ⚠️ ·
2026-05-01 #151 Patrick Corbin R/L * 13.7% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ⚠️ ·
2026-04-30 #73 Kevin Gausman R/R * 13.6% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ⚠️ 💥
2026-04-29 #224 George Kirby R/R * 12.4% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-28 #145 Logan Gilbert R/R * 9.9% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-27 #58 Luis Castillo R/R * 19.0% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-26 #51 Griffin Jax R/R * 29.7% 🔵 C+ ➖ NTRL 🔥 ·
2026-04-25 #63 Shane McClanahan R/L 21.3% 🔵 C+ ➖ NTRL 🔥 ·
2026-04-23 #37 Christian Scott R/R 20.4% 🔵 C+ ➖ NTRL ⚠️ 💥
2026-04-22 #92 Clay Holmes R/R 15.0% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ⚠️ ·
2026-04-21 #94 Nolan McLean R/R 13.4% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ⚠️ ·
2026-04-18 #158 Andrew Abbott R/L 13.9% ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-04-17 #112 Brandon Williamson R/L 17.1% ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-04-14 #89 Sonny Gray R/R 6.8% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-13 #64 Garrett Crochet R/L 4.5% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL 💥
2026-04-11 #192 Eric Lauer R/L 5.8% ⚪ D 🔥 HOT ·
2026-04-10 #206 Patrick Corbin R/ 6.1% ⚪ D 📈 WARM 💥
2026-04-09 #72 Jack Flaherty R/R 5.4% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-08 #205 Framber Valdez R/L 5.3% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-07 #217 Tarik Skubal R/L 4.8% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-06 #171 Casey Mize R/R 5.1% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-05 #191 Nick Martinez R/R 8.2% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ⚠️ ·
2026-04-04 #177 Steven Matz R/L 8.0% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ⚠️ ·
2026-04-02 #38 Cole Ragans R/L 8.9% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-01 #193 Noah Cameron R/L 8.9% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-03-30 #215 Kris Bubic R/L 6.1% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-03-28 #140 Kyle Bradish · 10.7% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-03-26 #149 Trevor Rogers · 6.4% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·

Ryan Jeffers's full profile is waiting

Create an account or upgrade to see the complete rank trend, HR history, matchup log, and every signal behind this batter profile.

37 more waiting in the on-deck circle
LD 3.2.70

The top 10 picks. Every morning.

Free daily home run predictions from the model, in your inbox before first pitch.

No spam. Unsubscribe anytime. Just picks and results.